First Day, Monday, May 19: |
9:00 a.m. |
Registration |
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9:30 a.m. |
Growth and Stagnation |
Chair: Masahisa Fujita |
Masahisa Fujita |
Welcoming Remarks |
|
Bart van Ark |
Growth and Stagnation in the World Economy |
Slides |
Kyoji Fukao |
The Structural Causes of Japan's Lost Decades |
Slides |
Andre Hofman and Matilde Mas |
Structural Change in Four Latin American Countries (with Claudio Aravena and Juan Fernández) |
Slides |
11:00 a.m. |
Coffee break |
|
11:30 a.m. |
Parallel Sessions |
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Session One: |
Europe |
Chair: Colin Webb |
Bart van Ark |
Growth and Stagnation in Europe (with Mary O'Mahony and Marcel Timmer) |
Slides |
Axel Werwatz |
Explaining Rates of Return Differences across Industries in Germany (with Martin Gornig and Bernd Gorzig) |
Slides |
Carlo Milana |
Productivity Stagnation and Low Human Capital Investment in a Wealthy Economy: The Case of Italy |
Slides |
Session Two: |
Asia |
Chair: Fumio Hayashi |
Joji Tokui |
Productivity and Growth for Japanese Prefectures (with Kyoji Fukao, Tsutomu Miyagawa, Kazuyasu Kawasaki and Tatsuji Makino) |
Slides |
Deb Kusum Das |
Productivity Growth in India under Different Policy Regimes: 1890-2012 (with Abdul A Erumban, Suresh Aggarwal and Sreerupa Sengupta) |
Slides |
Yih-Ming Lin |
Industrial Policy, Structural Change, and Pattern of Industrial Productivity Growth in Taiwan (with Tsu-Tan Fu , Hsing-Chun Lin, and Wen-Hsin Kong) |
Slides |
Harry X. Wu |
China’s Strategic Move for a New Stage of Development: A Productivity Perspective |
Slides |
1:00 p.m. |
Lunch |
|
2.00 p.m. |
Parallel Sessions |
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Session Three: |
Measurement Issues |
Chair: Chi-Yuan Liang |
Bishwanath Goldar |
Productivity Growth in Indian Manufacturing Industries: The Role of Imported Materials Input |
Slides |
Taehyoung Cho |
Korea’s Transition toward the 2008 SNA and Capital Measurement for National Balance Sheets (with Yungtaek Jung, Daejin Kim and Chaesoo Han) |
Slides |
Hak K. Pyo |
Estimation of Land and Inventory Stocks by Industries as Capital Inputs (with Keun Hee Rhee) |
Slides |
Session Four: |
Human Capital |
Chair: Barbara Fraumeni |
Haizheng Li |
Human Capital Estimates in China, New Panel Data on China by Provinces, 1985-2010 (with Barbara Fraumeni, Qinyi Liu, Bo Li and Xiaobei Zhang) |
Slides |
Haripriya Gundimeda |
Human Capital Estimates for Indian States. Gang Liu. Human Capital Measurement: Country Experiences and International Initiatives |
Slides |
Gang Liu |
Human Capital Measurement: Country Experiences and International Initiatives |
Slides |
3:30 p.m. |
Afternoon Break |
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4.00 p.m. |
Parallel Sessions |
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Session Five: |
Intangibles |
Chair: Masahiro Kuroda |
Cecilia Jona-Lasinio |
ICT, R&D and Non-R&D Intangible Capital in Europe (with Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, Massimiliano Iommi) |
Slides |
Tsutomu Miyagawa |
Intangible Investment by Industry and Productivity Improvement in Japan (with Shoichi Hisa) |
Slides |
Hak K. Pyo |
Intangible Capital Stock and Its Contribution to Economic Growth in Korea, 1980-2013 (with Hyunbae Chun and Keun Hee Rhee) |
Slides |
Session Six: |
United States and Japan |
Chair: Brian Moyer |
Mun Ho |
Long-Term Estimates of U.S. Productivity and Growth (with Dale Jorgenson and Jon Samuels) |
Slides |
Koji Nomura |
Industry Origins of the U.S.-Japan Productivity Gap (with Dale Jorgenson and Jon Sammuels) |
Slides |
Erich Strassner |
An Integrated Industry-Level Production Account for the United States (with Steven Rosenthal, Matthew Russell, Jon D. Samuels and Lisa Usher) |
Slides |
5:30 p.m. |
End of day one |
5:40 p.m. |
Bus leaves JP Tower & Conference for Hotel Grand Ark Hanzomon |
6:00 p.m. |
Dinner for Conference Participants |
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Second Day: Tuesday, May 20:
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9:00 a.m. |
Parallel Sessions |
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Session Seven: |
Country Studies |
Chair: Lawrence J. Lau |
David Kupfer |
Productivity and Investment in the Brazilian Economy (with Fabio Freitas, Gabriel Squeff, Claudio Armitrano, Sandro Sacchet de Carvalho, Thiago Miguez, and Thiago Moraes) |
Slides |
Zaffrullah Hussein |
Towards a High Income Economy: The Malaysian Case (with Rauzah Zainal Abidin, Ishak Yusof and Rosmiza Rosly) |
Slides |
Ilya Voskoboynikov |
Is the Russian Strategy 2020 Workable? |
Slides |
Francisco Guillen |
Growth Strategy in Mexico |
Slides |
Session Eight: |
Global Value Chains |
Chair: Nobuhiro Kiyotaki |
Gaaitzen de Vries |
Incomes and Jobs in Global Production of Manufactures (with Marcel P. Timmer and Bart Los) |
Slides |
Zhi Wang |
Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Level (with Shang-Jin Wei and Kunfu Zhu) |
Slides |
Eiichi Nakazawa |
Determinants of Trade in Value Added (with Norihiko Yamano and Colin Webb) |
Slides |
10:30 a.m. |
Coffee Break |
11:00 a.m. |
Plenary Session |
|
|
The World Economy |
Chair: Masayuki Morikawa |
Khuong Vu |
Productivity Growth and Export Performance in the G7 Economies |
Slides |
Robert Inklaar |
Industry Prices and Productivity Convergence |
Slides |
Marcel Timmer |
Slicing Up Global Value Chains (with Abdul Azeez Erumban, Bart Los, Robert Stehrer and Gaaitzen J. de Vries) |
Slides |
Masayuki Morikawa |
Concluding Remarks |
|
12:30 p.m. |
Lunch |
Preliminary Program |
1:30 p.m. |
Opening Session |
|
|
Opening Remarks |
Atsushi Nakajima |
1:35 p.m. |
Keynote Speech |
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|
World KLEMS Initiative" |
Dale Jorgenson |
2:20 p.m. |
Keynote Speech |
|
|
"Evolving Spatial Economy of Asia-Pacific and Growth Strategy" |
Masahisa Fujita |
3:05 p.m. |
Afternoon Break |
3:30 p.m. |
Panel Disucussion |
|
Panel List |
Topics |
Moderator: Tsutomu Miyagawa |
Kyoji Fukao |
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki |
Lawrence J. Lau |
Marcel Timmer |
Bart van Ark |
|
Can the world economy keep sustainable productivity improvement? |
Structural change to enhance growth: Reallocation mechanisms, change in trade structure, investments in intangibles, service sector productivity etc. |
Risk factors for sustainable growth: Financial stability in the world economy, sustainability of government debt, instability of emerging economies, increase in energy demand etc. |
|
5:30 p.m. |
Close |
5:35 p.m. |
Reception (by courtesy of the Japan Productivity Center) |